CREW The Annual Hurricane Season Thread - 2022 Edition - Fiona, Gaston, Ian, Hermine & Newton have entered the chat

6SpeedTA95

OT Supporter
Jun 12, 2003
66,015
Oklahoma
View attachment 261576


loving that yucatan barrel roll track
I wouldn’t put a lot of faith in models at this point. They mostly all have the trough in the east sticking around and a couple days ago that wasn’t the case.

98L also is still disorganized. So as I mentioned a few days ago, the track spread is wide and certainty is very low. Could be TX GC or FL east coast at this point….or anywhere in between.

Saturday or Sunday I would expect these wrinkles to be ironed out as well as how much digging this trough does on the CONUS
 

Jon91SE

These hoes ain’t loyal
OT Supporter
Mar 31, 2004
30,467
FL
200.gif
 
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SR_71

Well-Known Member
Jan 10, 2005
21,631
Ottawa
My hometown... :(


I am concerned about my family and friends there.
 
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6SpeedTA95

OT Supporter
Jun 12, 2003
66,015
Oklahoma
Look at the VIS we might have a center of circulation on this thing. If so that's kind of early, maybe a day earlier than I anticipated. We'll see what it looks like in 90 mins or so.
 

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